Briefings

Strategic
11 September 2026

Analytical briefing — 11.09.2026 02:28

On the night of September 11, Russia attacked Kyiv with drones: two injured, a fire. Ukrainian drones hit an oil refinery and an OZON hub in Saratov. Over Odesa and Kharkiv region, movement of enemy UAVs is recorded. Iran has resumed production of ballistic missiles, Houthis captured the port of Mokha. The world is on the brink of escalation.

Strategic
10 September 2026

Analytical briefing — 10.09.2026 02:28

Night strikes on Kryvyi Rih and Sumy, missile shortage for F-16s, Brent breaks $100, Zelensky in Canada. Ukraine's rear, front and economy simultaneously under pressure. Full briefing: how these events change Kyiv's position in the coming months.

Strategic
09 September 2026

Analytical Briefing — 09.09.2026 14:38

A day of massive strikes on the rear: Kyiv, Kramatorsk, Izium, Odesa. Kharkiv prepares to shorten the curfew. Oil broke through $100 — pressure on the economy. Germany after AfD's success — a risk for support for Ukraine. Full briefing — on the front, economy, and global shifts.

Strategic
09 September 2026

Analytical Briefing — 09.09.2026 12:47

Russia is striking civilian infrastructure: rescuers in Zolochiv are hit again, and an attack on the Starokozache checkpoint leaves casualties. The Kremlin signals readiness for trilateral talks. Brent oil has reached $100, adding to economic pressure. On the domestic front: the Rada is preparing to remove the Prosecutor General, and debate continues over rotation-based mobilization.

Strategic
09 September 2026

Analytical Briefing — 09.09.2026 11:41

Brent hit $100 for the first time since July after US strikes on Iranian tankers — this is putting pressure on fuel prices. Russia strikes the Kharkiv region: 1 dead, 8 wounded. Ukraine struck Novorossiysk; signals about Kerch [UNCONFIRMED]. Kremlin: no plan to end the war; Rubio promises a “roadmap” within weeks. Berlin is ready to share data on conscription-eligible Ukrainians.

Strategic
07 September 2026

Analytical Briefing — 07.09.2026 17:12

Ukraine is on the periphery of the global information flow, but front-line tension is not easing: confirmations of strikes on Kerch and outages in Odesa are expected. Oil above $90 is pressuring production costs, though this may be a result of strikes on Russian refineries. Global trends — AI, climate, political turbulence — are generating new risks for support for Ukraine.

Strategic
07 September 2026

Analytical Briefing — 09/07/2026 05:13

Night of September 7: Kharkiv and Odesa under drone strikes, Kerch restless, drones heading for Vinnytsia. Planned power outages in Odesa. In Germany, AfD wins in Saxony-Anhalt, oil above $90. Domestic front — elite infighting and societal fatigue. Full analysis in the briefing.

Strategic
06 September 2026

Analytical Briefing — 06.09.2026 17:14

A strike on Chuhuiv took the lives of three family members, including children. The US and Iran are exchanging strikes in the Gulf of Oman: oil remains above $90. Kharkiv region marks the anniversary of its counteroffensive, Odesa region repels UAVs, Kerch records activity. This is a week of trials for the home front and geopolitics.

Strategic
06 September 2026

Analytical Briefing — 06.09.2026 05:13

A nighttime drone attack on the Odesa region (up to 10 Shaheds) and air alerts in the Kharkiv region keep the home front on edge, with consequences not yet confirmed. Global oil has settled above $91 — this makes logistics and the front line more costly. Western analytical circles are stirring up the topic of a failed Russian drone against Germany; Kerch is uneasy. All editorial forecasts are sti…

Strategic
05 September 2026

Analytical Briefing — 05.09.2026 17:13

Putin announced a 3-day pause in strikes on Kyiv before the visit of US envoys; Ukraine, according to unconfirmed reports, has held back strikes on Russia. Kerch is “restless.” Brent remains near $95; global rebalancing forces Ukraine to act preemptively.

Strategic
05 September 2026

Аналітичний брифінг — 05.09.2026 05:12

Візит мирних посланців Трампа до Києва і Москви та тимчасовий режим тиші з 5 по 8 вересня задають тривожне тло: на фронті вночі тривали атаки БПЛА на Харківщину, а в Борисполі російський удар поранив двох. Глобально — нафта дорожчає, Європа стикається з кампанією саботажу, у Німеччині посилюються праві. Україна балансує між переговорами і обороною.

Strategic
04 September 2026

Analytical Briefing — 04.09.2026 17:12

Night UAV attacks on Kharkiv, Odesa, Kyiv and Brovary; Kerch is uneasy. Moldova begins exercises with the US and Romania. WTI crude topped $91. No official confirmation of emergency outages yet. Editorial forecasts at the sync — all premature.

Strategic
04 September 2026

Analytical Briefing — 04.09.2026 05:13

Night attacks in the south and east of Ukraine without official confirmation of consequences. Key driver — the US–Iran escalation, keeping oil above $91 and hitting global fuel prices. Signals from Kerch await the General Staff's verdict. Markets are nervous, but VIX is still low. Cross-checking of forecasts reveals a lack of official OVA statements.

Strategic
03 September 2026

Analytical Briefing — 03.09.2026 17:14

Amid global tensions (WTI oil above $91, gold rising), Ukraine registers signals from deep in the enemy’s rear: an attack on a Russian Aerospace Forces officer in Engels. Domestic risks — a fuel price increase of UAH 5 and unconfirmed shooting between security forces in Kyiv. Forecast strikes on the energy sector have not yet materialized.

Strategic
03 September 2026

Analytical Briefing — 03.09.2026 05:13

Night strikes on Kharkiv and Odesa, explosions in Kerch, WTI oil surged amid the US-Iran conflict. Ukraine holds the line, but energy pressure and global turbulence are growing. A detailed analysis of internal resilience, the front, the economy, and global shifts — in the full briefing.

Strategic
02 September 2026

Analytical Briefing — 02.09.2026 17:13

Night attack on Odesa: 8 wounded, water utility power outage, part of the city without water. Signals of explosions in Kerch. Oil rises 5.5%, gold falls — the commodity backdrop for Ukraine is contradictory. The state is silent about business compensation.

Strategic
02 September 2026

Analytical Briefing — 02.09.2026 05:13

Odesa under massive attack, US strikes Iran again, WTI surges. Zelensky acknowledged informal restrictions on strikes against Moscow and St. Petersburg. How this affects port logistics, prices, and Ukraine's negotiating position — in the briefing.

Strategic
01 September 2026

Analytical Briefing — 01.09.2026 17:12

Escalation in the Middle East pushes oil up (+3.08%) — risk of imported inflation for Ukraine. Signals of strikes on Kerch and Vinnytsia amid alerts in Kharkiv and Odesa indicate: the war is not subsiding. At the same time, the rear is adapting — underground schools and infrastructure restoration. Details below.

Strategic
01 September 2026

Analytical Briefing — 01.09.2026 05:12

Global tensions rise: WTI crude +3.08% due to Middle East attacks — this pressures fuel and Black Sea logistics. Kharkiv and Odesa regions under night drone strikes, unrest near Kerch. Western analysis signals a possible decrease in US attention to Europe — Ukraine must accelerate its own security guarantees and energy resilience.

Strategic
31 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 31.08.2026 17:13

Nighttime Shahed raids on Kyiv, Odesa, and Kharkiv regions: strikes on the Dubrovka cafe, Nova Poshta terminal, and warehouses. Unrest in Kerch. Fedorov offers the US a "drone army" in exchange for Patriot. Dollar strengthens, gold falls 3.24%, Fed holds rate at 3.63%, 10Y — 4.67%. The editors' forecasts on Kerch remain open.

Strategic
31 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 31.08.2026 05:13

Overnight, Russian drones and missiles struck the south and east: Kharkiv region, Odesa region, Mykolaiv region. Fires at warehouses, strikes on logistics. There is still no official confirmation of a strike in Kerch. Global markets: the dollar is rising, gold is falling — this increases the cost of external financing for Ukraine. The briefing records a turning point in Western support.

Strategic
30 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 30.08.2026 17:13

August 30, 2026. Russia announced preparation of massive strikes on energy infrastructure; drones attacked Kharkiv, Odesa, Kyiv. Food and water warehouses were hit. Kerch is restless. Globally: Iceland rejected the EU, Trump will control Venezuela's oil. Pressure on the home front is growing, but Ukraine's agency holds.

Strategic
30 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 30.08.2026 05:13

Night UAV attacks on Kharkiv and Odesa regions, restless in Kerch. The government discusses changing the curfew due to Russia's new tactics. Global markets: the dollar rises, gold falls, Treasury yields are at a record high — pressure on the hryvnia and partners' resources. Ukraine maintains agency in the war of logistics and narratives.

Strategic
29 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 29.08.2026 17:13

Russia prepares escalation: the Office of the President warns of a possible offensive on Kyiv/Chernihiv and creation of a 'buffer zone' up to 20 km in Kharkiv region. Strikes on Kyiv region caused casualties, evacuation underway. Restless in Kerch — long-range capability works. Oil $83.9, dollar strengthens, aid package not yet announced.

Strategic
29 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 29.08.2026 05:14

Night of August 29: massive drone raid on Kharkiv and Odesa regions, movement toward Vinnytsia. In Kerch "restless" — likely strikes on Russian logistics. WTI oil falls to $84, dollar strengthens. Global analytical centers discuss U.S. withdrawal from Europe. This changes the balance of forces for Ukraine within a 3–6 month horizon.

Strategic
28 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 28.08.2026 17:13

The day was marked by drone strikes on Kharkiv, Odesa region, and a threat to Vinnytsia; the main nerve is unconfirmed activity in Kerch. WTI is rising amid the Iran blockade, putting pressure on fuel and logistics. In U.S. discourse, the thesis 'leave Europe to the Europeans' is gaining strength — a risk for future aid to Ukraine.

Strategic
28 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 28.08.2026 05:13

Overnight jet drones attacked Kyiv, Kharkiv region, and Odesa; a residential building in Podilskyi district was hit, and the capital was shrouded in smoke. Trump says Putin will not attack NATO — this is a dangerous signal. Markets are rising, oil is rebounding, but Ukraine remains under pressure.

Strategic
27 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 27.08.2026 17:14

Massive drone strikes on Kharkiv (Epitsentr shopping mall, hypermarket) and Odesa region (Kiliya, Izmail) — casualties reported. Unrest recorded in Kerch without official confirmation. Oil falls, 10Y-2Y spread positive — no recession signal. The West strengthens Baltic defense, while the US discusses Ukraine's drone democracy.

Strategic
27 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 27.08.2026 05:13

Night of August 27: strikes on Odesa and Kharkiv regions, unrest in Kerch [T3]. Rutte in Brussels synchronizes defense support with the Pentagon [T1/T2]. Foreign Policy notes Ukrainians' skepticism about elections. WTI oil fell below $84 — pressure on Russia. Details in the briefing.

Strategic
26 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 26.08.2026 17:14

Kharkiv region under attack: 23 injured, children in Izium. Defense forces strike Russian missile infrastructure in Kerch. Global macro backdrop: WTI falls, gold rises, VIX calm — oil pressure on Russia, but a test for air defense and diplomacy lies ahead. Possible return of Kuleba, scandalous award for Musk. Full briefing provides a map of forces for 3-6 months.

Strategic
26 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 26.08.2026 05:14

CIA Director Ratcliffe in Moscow, US asks Ukraine not to strike the Russian capital. Background: nighttime drones over Kharkiv region and Odesa, strike on Osnovianskyi district of Kharkiv. Vatican may be bringing a 'war end plan'. Akhmetov invested UAH 168 billion.

Strategic
25 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 25.08.2026 17:13

Amid strikes on Kharkiv and Odesa, Kryvyi Rih counts 16 dead in a shopping center. The front is pressing on Kupiansk, and it's uneasy in Kerch. The US launches an 'economic D-Day' against Iran — this is a risk for fuel prices. The EU does not provide early payments for the €27 billion defense deficit, but is preparing a calendar on air defense and Storm Shadow.

Strategic
25 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 25.08.2026 05:14

The world is frozen between Iran and Kerch: the US is pressuring Tehran economically, but Trump's rating is falling; Russia is experiencing a slow banking panic and may resort to forced mobilization. In Ukraine — night alerts in Odesa region, shelling of Kharkiv, unconfirmed explosions in Kerch. Markets flee to gold and Treasuries, oil is getting cheaper. Full briefing — about cascades on the fro…

Strategic
24 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 24.08.2026 17:13

Independence Day: Ukraine declares peace without concessions, EU gives €6.1 billion for defense. Russia attacks Kharkiv and Odesa, unrest in Kerch. The Iranian crisis in the Strait of Hormuz may divert US attention from Europe but boosts Moscow's oil revenues. Markets nervous, gold rises.

Strategic
24 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 24.08.2026 05:12

Night: 'Molniya' drones hit a gas station in Kharkiv; Odesa region — alerts without confirmed damage. In Kerch, 'restless,' officials are silent. WTI $86.5, gold +1.95% — the market is pricing in escalation. Canada-U.S. tariff knot pressures S&P.

Strategic
23 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 23.08.2026 17:11

Flow of the day: Russia maintains a high strike tempo against Kharkiv and Odesa oblasts; the front records unrest in Kerch. Global backdrop — gold +1.95%, WTI oil $86.5, 10Y-2Y inversion gone. Canada is heading toward a trade war with the United States. For Ukraine, this is a risk of increasing the cost of the war and a chance to strengthen its agency.

Strategic
23 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 23.08.2026 05:13

Night drone attacks on Kharkiv and Odesa, a strike on Kryvyi Rih, signs of operations in Kerch. Canada announces customs response to the U.S. starting September 8, Taiwan increases its defense budget. Oil $86.5, gold +1.95% — the world seeks protection. Partner support under pressure, but the front holds.

Strategic
22 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 22.08.2026 17:12

Massive air attack on Odesa region: 10 missiles and swarms of UAVs, air alerts in Kharkiv, tension in Kerch. Global markets are shaken by Iran — oil is rising, gold is soaring, the dollar is weakening. Ukraine holds its defense, but pressure on port and energy infrastructure is growing. Quick decisions on air defense and mobilization are needed.

Strategic
21 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 21.08.2026 17:13

Russia struck Odesa Oblast, damaging the Tabaky checkpoint on the border with Moldova; Kharkiv is taking loans for MRI and energy; unrest in Kerch. WTI rose to $86.5, gold is rising amid the weak dollar. Global signals — the US fiscal crisis and allies' shift toward China — may weaken support for Ukraine.

Strategic
21 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 21.08.2026 05:13

Night of August 21: massive drone attack on port infrastructure of Odesa Oblast (Izmail, Tatarbunary) and strikes on Kharkiv Oblast. Explosions in Kerch without official acknowledgment. WTI oil rose to $86.5 amid sanctions against Iran. Zelensky demands a more humane mobilization.

Strategic
20 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 20.08.2026 17:13

A night attack on Odesa region left ~13 thousand consumers without power; unrest in Kerch, no official statement. WTI $86.48, gold +3.84%, DXY −0.92%. Kyiv holds its pause. Global focus shifts to AI, China, Iran. Ukraine needs energy resilience and fast long-range signals.

Strategic
20 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 20.08.2026 05:13

Night attack with Kalibrs on Odesa region and drones on Zhytomyr, Zelenskyy's statements about turbulence in Europe, WTI oil above $86 and gold at highs — the day is marked by rising global tension. Ukraine not only holds the line but also expands its long-range response, particularly in Kerch.

Strategic
19 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 19.08.2026 17:13

Amid the Iranian crisis and Nasdaq decline, Ukraine records air raid alerts in Kharkiv, Odesa, and Vinnytsia. Unrest in Kerch — signals of Ukrainian strikes. WTI oil rises to $84.8, increasing pressure on fuel. We are preparing for possible combined strikes on the energy sector.

Strategic
19 August 2026

Аналітичний брифінг — 19.08.2026 05:10

Удар по енергетиці Одещини та повітряні тривоги на Харківщині 19 серпня фіксують продовження російських атак на тил. Ринки показують зростання нафти та волатильність, а міжнародні сигнали вказують на посилення тиску на РФ через дрони. Україна утримує суб’єктність попри удари.

Strategic
18 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 18.08.2026 17:13

Missile strike on Pechenihy: at least 10 dead, 8 wounded. Odesa Oblast — night Shahed drones. Kharkiv Oblast under daily KABs. Oil $84.77: Strait of Hormuz closed until the US fulfills Iran's conditions, US bond yields at highs not seen since 2007. Chișinău supports transit of Ukrainian grain. Details and forecasts inside.

Strategic
18 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 18.08.2026 05:12

Russian night strikes on energy sector and regions, drone incidents over Moldova, Iranian crisis pressures oil. Ukrainian authorities in information pause; West torn between Middle East and Kyiv. Oil within $83–87, but risks rising.

Strategic
17 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 17.08.2026 17:12

Night of August 17: combined strikes on Kyiv, Dnipro, Poltava, and Odesa region, UAVs on Tuzla, unrest in Kerch. Oil rises to $84.8, dollar weakens, gold gains — the world in a state of uncertainty. The US discusses peace in Ukraine and reducing global commitments. Ukraine holds the line, but pressure on the rear and ports grows. Details — in the full briefing.

Strategic
17 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 17.08.2026 13:15

Night drone attack on Odesa and Kharkiv regions confirms unchanged Russian strike tactics. WTI at $84.8, gold at record, dollar weakens. US pressures Iran, China, and Australia; attention disperses. In Ukraine — demining, reservations, veteran protests. Forecast: strike on ports likely.

Strategic
13 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 13.08.2026 17:12

Russia continues to attack Odesa region: second air raid alert in a day, strike on a railway train. Kharkiv repels UAVs. Global pressure — crisis around the Strait of Hormuz and US-Iran war: WTI near $85, raising the cost of Ukrainian exports. Forecast: by August 15 — combined strike on ports.

Strategic
13 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 13.08.2026 05:13

Fresh digest: NASA marked Crimea as Russian, pressure on Odesa region continues, WTI settled above $84, and it's uneasy in Kerch. The main risk is strikes on energy and ports, which hit exports and the rear. Details — in the briefing.

Strategic
12 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 12.08.2026 17:11

Confirmed strike on Kerch ferry crossing: occupiers' logistics paralyzed. Russia retaliates with mass drone attacks on residential areas of Kharkiv and Odesa. Markets react to the war of straits: WTI oil adjusts upward. US sanctions pressure on the ICC creates a diplomatic challenge for Ukraine — silence threatens to erode mechanisms of accountability for war crimes.

Strategic
12 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 12.08.2026 05:11

The geopolitical crisis in the Red Sea is pushing oil to $82, accelerating the global diesel deficit and putting pressure on Ukrainian logistics. Russia is advancing on the Kupiansk axis, combining pressure with pinpoint airstrikes on Kharkiv. Against this backdrop, Kyiv has handed proposals to the US for ending the war. The economic backdrop is deteriorating due to rising fuel prices.

Strategic
11 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 11.08.2026 17:11

Night attack of 456 UAVs on Russian regions and the threat of Kh-22 launches from Tu-22M3 in the Black Sea mark a new phase of aerial confrontation. Amid record summer heat, Ukraine's energy system balances between recovery after shelling and emergency outages. Global macro background: oil falling below $82 contradicts the logic of escalation in the Strait of Hormuz, signaling the strength of the…

Strategic
11 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 11.08.2026 05:13

Oil jumped 6.7% after the collapse of Hormuz talks; Russia continues to hit Ukraine's rear: in Kharkiv, a shoe warehouse worth UAH 450 million was destroyed, alerts in Izmail; uneasy in Kerch; EU prepares 21st sanctions package against Russian crypto networks worth $120 billion. Western think tanks model Russia 'after Putin'.

Strategic
10 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 10.08.2026 17:11

Moldova has become a direct target of the war due to the fall of a Russian drone — Chișinău recalls its ambassador. Russia synchronously attacks Kharkiv with Shaheds and directs UAVs at the Danube export hub of Izmail. The world reacts by fleeing into gold (+2.26%) and ignoring Hormuz oil risks. Macro inversion in the US holds. Oil weakness (WTI 81.96) hits Russia's budget.

Strategic
09 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 09.08.2026 17:11

The week leading up to Independence Day turns the rear into a frontline: Russia is preparing a massive strike on Kyiv's energy infrastructure, Kharkiv region suffers from attacks on railway and agricultural sector. Amid falling oil to $82 and tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, Ukraine is forced to fight on two fronts at once — military and economic. The key signal is unrest in Kerch, indicating a …

Strategic
09 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 09.08.2026 05:12

Southern Ukraine is under intensified pressure from Russian UAVs — Shahed drone flights toward Odesa Oblast and strikes on Kharkiv Oblast have been recorded. The formation of a Sunni defense alliance (Turkey–Pakistan–Saudi Arabia) is shifting the balance of power in the Black and Mediterranean Seas, threatening Ukraine's grain corridor. WTI crude is falling to $82, pressuring the Russian budget, …

Strategic
08 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 08.08.2026 17:11

The world is on the brink of a major war over the Strait of Hormuz: a Sunni defense alliance has been formed, Iran ignores negotiations. For Ukraine, this is a cascade of risks — diversion of US attention, higher insurance rates for the grain corridor, rising energy prices. Domestically: systematic strikes on Kharkiv and the region, pressure on railway logistics.

Strategic
08 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 08.08.2026 05:13

Strike on Lozova station, corruption scheme in Kharkiv psychiatry, and unrest in Kerch — the day exposed all three axes of exhaustion: front, rear, and logistics. Externally: oil fell to $82, new US sanctions, and a Sunni defense pact that diverts partners' attention and hits the Russian budget.

Strategic
07 August 2026

Аналітичний брифінг — 07.08.2026 17:11

Глобальна турбулентність набирає обертів: оборонний пакт Саудівської Аравії, Туреччини та Пакистану переформатовує альянси, а дефіцит Patriot у США загрожує українському небу. Нафта нижче $82 тисне бюджет РФ, що є стратегічним плюсом, але несе ризики для світової економіки. Україна системно знищує ворожу логістику в Керчі та нафтопереробку, тримаючи паузу перед можливою ескалацією на Близькому Сх…

Strategic
07 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — August 7, 2026 05:12

The missile strike on the railway station in Lozova halted traffic on a key logistics artery in the East. Amid the mutual blockade of the Black Sea and the air-defense deficit, the West is distracted by crises in Hormuz and Ceuta, leaving Ukraine alone with exhaustion. WTI jumped to $82, but markets are falling, signaling global turbulence.

Strategic
06 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 06.08.2026 17:11

Critical exhaustion of Ukraine's air defense is the central theme of the day, confirmed by Sybiha's statement and Foreign Policy. The strike on Balakliia (3 dead) demonstrates Russia's tactical success against the backdrop of WTI falling to $81.96 — the oil lever is weakening. Gold updated its highs (+4.14%), preparing the ground for a reassessment of the grain corridor's security. Ukraine offers…

Strategic
06 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 06.08.2026 05:11

The war is transitioning into a dimension of total exhaustion: a shortage of air-defense missiles amid continuous air alerts in Kharkiv and Odesa, 'unrest' in Kerch as a response, WTI oil falling to $81.96, which breaks Russia's budget. The world is distracted by heat, the Iranian crisis, and its own economic flare-ups. Ukraine balances between fire and survival.

Strategic
05 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 05.08.2026 17:11

Russia has struck Kyiv's logistics infrastructure (Rozetka, Epicenter, Nova Poshta warehouses) with cluster munitions in the most powerful attack in months. This is a deliberate attempt to paralyze the consumer rear and create an artificial shortage. Against the backdrop of WTI falling to $84.25, which undermines the Russian budget, the Kremlin is betting on terror against Ukraine's internal stab…

Strategic
05 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 05.08.2026 05:12

The death of a Polish volunteer in Kharkiv sharpens the diplomatic dimension of the war. The drop in WTI to $84.25 creates a fiscal crisis for Russia amid powerful strikes on Kerch. Global markets are rising, but the Houthi attack on a Saudi airport reminds us: the world is entering a phase of multiple hot conflicts, dispersing the resources of Ukraine's partners.

Strategic
04 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 04.08.2026 17:11

The drop in WTI oil to $84.25 starts a countdown for the Russian budget, and the attack on the Wildberries hub near St. Petersburg signals a new depth of Ukrainian strikes. Against the backdrop of a missile threat to the Odesa region from the Black Sea, the global air-defense crisis and the U.S. diversion of resources to the Middle East form an alarming backdrop for Ukraine's skies in winter. An …

Strategic
04 August 2026

Аналітичний брифінг — 04.08.2026 05:11

WTI's 5.5% drop and pressure on Russia's oil and gas revenues coincide with Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries. At the same time, a window of opportunity for strikes deep into Russia is opening through Starlink negotiations. US-Iran escalation and Europe's hesitation on air defense create risks of dispersing allied resources, which is critical for Ukraine over a 3-6 month horizon.

Strategic
03 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 03.08.2026 17:12

Night attack by 163 drones: strikes in Kyiv, Odesa, Kharkiv region, 9 dead in the capital. An elite restaurant exploded in Moscow. WTI fell to $84.25 — Russia's budget under pressure. US-Iran escalation threatens to redirect Patriot systems from Europe. NATO's eastern flank prepares "Eastern Shield" without regard for Washington.

Strategic
03 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 03.08.2026 05:14

Against the backdrop of attacks on chemical infrastructure in Poltava region and shootings at TCCs in Odesa, the world is recording tectonic shifts: the discussion about defending NATO's eastern flank without the US is materializing into a practical plane, and the expansion of the US-Iran war is diverting Western resources, forcing Kyiv to seek asymmetric responses to exhaustion — from strikes de…

Strategic
02 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 02.08.2026 17:12

Kharkiv and Odesa under massive drone and artillery strikes: a logistics terminal in Korotych is on fire, dozens injured, children hide from Shaheds. Against the backdrop of military pressure and a global drought, world think tanks discuss the paradox of a weak Russia that continues its offensive, and the future of Eastern Europe's defense without the American umbrella.

Strategic
02 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 02.08.2026 05:11

The massive nighttime drone attack on Ukraine (Kharkiv, Odesa, Kyiv Oblast) against the backdrop of "unrest" in Kerch indicates Russia's attempt to exhaust air defense before a new missile strike. The drop in oil below $85 pressures the Russian budget, and the violation of Polish airspace by a missile pushes NATO to review the eastern flank. Kyiv is preparing an asymmetric response in Crimea.

Strategic
01 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 01.08.2026 17:11

The south of Ukraine is under threat from Kh-22 missiles carried by Tu-22M3s; "unrest" is being reported in Kerch. Amid WTI falling to $84.25 and a 17% decline in VIX, the U.S. may reorient resources toward the Middle East. NATO records a violation of Polish airspace by a Russian missile — the eastern flank requires a new security architecture.

Strategic
01 August 2026

Analytical Briefing — 01.08.2026 05:12

A conversation between the new prime ministers of Kyiv and Chisinau begins stitching together a new axis "from the Danube basin to the Black Sea" bypassing Budapest. Against the backdrop of Russian strikes on vessels and unrest in Kerch, this is an attempt to seize the agenda. Markets record a drop in oil and gold — capital seeks growth in defense and Europe's reconstruction.

Strategic
31 July 2026

Analytical Briefing — 31.07.2026 17:12

Diplomatic breakthrough in the Middle East: Trump announced an agreement on Hamas disarmament. Meanwhile, a Russian Kh-101 missile crossed the Polish border. In Kharkiv, the SBU detained the head of a district police department for obstructing the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The Danube has shallowed to record levels, halting Hungary's only nuclear power plant. WTI oil price falls amid rising markets.

Strategic
31 July 2026

Analytical Briefing — 31.07.2026 05:12

Russia's night attack forced London and Berlin to make new statements, but the world is watching the Middle East: Trump's deal on Hamas, the US war with Iran has reached the Saudi front. The drop in oil to $84.25 gives Kyiv a short budget window while Western resources flow from Donbas to the Persian Gulf. Kharkiv and Odesa are under attack again — the war continues without pause.

Strategic
30 July 2026

Analytical Briefing — 30.07.2026 17:11

US and Iran on the brink of direct confrontation: drone attack in the Mediterranean and tanker exit from Hormuz push oil up +7.3%. This threatens to divert resources from Ukraine. Domestically, massive searches in military enlistment offices as authorities attempt to regain control over mobilization. Front: Kharkiv region under daily pressure.

Strategic
30 July 2026

Analytical Briefing — 30.07.2026 05:11

Russia moves to serial production of 'Banderol' missiles (400 km), targeting Ukraine's ports and logistics. Amid strikes on ships in Odesa and a 7.3% jump in WTI oil, the Kremlin uses the Durov case to tighten screws in the information space. Global markets are in turmoil from escalation in Iran, diverting Western resources.

Strategic
29 July 2026

Analytical Briefing — 29.07.2026 17:11

WTI crude oil collapse of 8.7% hits Russia's budget, but for Ukraine it is a temporary advantage in fuel costs. The strike on Vinnytsia and the threat of 'Kinzhal' missiles keep the rear on edge. Simultaneously, the Iranian front diverts Moscow's resources, while the earthquake in Japan raises risks for global logistics and Ukrainian exports. The Kharkiv corruption scandal involving the MSEK unde…

Strategic
29 July 2026

Analytical Briefing — 29.07.2026 05:11

A powerful earthquake in Japan has triggered a global risk reassessment: WTI crude oil collapsed by 8.73%, gold fell, and the tech sector is shaky. For Ukraine, this puts immediate pressure on the budget, but also opens a window of opportunity for cheaper agricultural logistics. Meanwhile, the 'tremors' in Kerch and the Caspian indicate: the war is taking on distinctly asymmetric forms where stri…

Strategic
28 July 2026

Analytical Briefing — 28.07.2026 17:11

WTI crude oil collapses 8.7% to below $84, reshaping Ukraine's budget landscape: the government gains an argument against excise tax hikes but loses revenue from commodity exports. The US tech sector undergoes a painful rotation that may affect funding for Ukraine support projects. In the darknet, there is a surge in sabotage signals targeting French nuclear infrastructure, raising Europe's energ…

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